Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005216 0.005772 0.006374 0.007077 0.007877 0.008762 0.009819
2025-07-13 0.004301 0.005061 0.005948 0.007070 0.008462 0.010148 0.012368
2025-07-20 0.003864 0.004736 0.005807 0.007237 0.009123 0.011562 0.015018
2025-07-27 0.003463 0.004377 0.005545 0.007173 0.009427 0.012503 0.017133
2025-08-03 0.003173 0.004117 0.005364 0.007169 0.009776 0.013506 0.019443
2025-08-10 0.002913 0.003864 0.005156 0.007088 0.009983 0.014305 0.021537
2025-08-17 0.002733 0.003701 0.005052 0.007132 0.010363 0.015387 0.024222
2025-08-24 0.002544 0.003506 0.004879 0.007050 0.010529 0.016141 0.026461
2025-08-31 0.002343 0.003278 0.004637 0.006834 0.010452 0.016476 0.028000
2025-09-07 0.002217 0.003148 0.004530 0.006816 0.010688 0.017355 0.030667
2025-09-14 0.002159 0.003117 0.004568 0.007031 0.011332 0.019024 0.035138
2025-09-21 0.002030 0.002966 0.004408 0.006901 0.011361 0.019569 0.037424
2025-09-28 0.001903 0.002815 0.004243 0.006764 0.011383 0.020148 0.039999
2025-10-05 0.001812 0.002717 0.004159 0.006757 0.011651 0.021254 0.044006
2025-10-12 0.001761 0.002678 0.004167 0.006915 0.012244 0.023096 0.050150
2025-10-19 0.001675 0.002576 0.004062 0.006855 0.012401 0.024047 0.054330
2025-10-26 0.001606 0.002498 0.003991 0.006851 0.012670 0.025275 0.059526
2025-11-02 0.001531 0.002404 0.003887 0.006774 0.012776 0.026149 0.063980
2025-11-09 0.001479 0.002349 0.003847 0.006816 0.013137 0.027671 0.070701
2025-11-16 0.001414 0.002266 0.003750 0.006739 0.013229 0.028559 0.075773
2025-11-23 0.001336 0.002156 0.003597 0.006534 0.013017 0.028660 0.078398
2025-11-30 0.001289 0.002098 0.003538 0.006517 0.013228 0.029876 0.085058
2025-12-07 0.001273 0.002096 0.003583 0.006720 0.013975 0.032631 0.097979